Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.016040 0.018661 0.021555 0.024985 0.028938 0.033348 0.038638
2025-12-21 0.011983 0.015326 0.019359 0.024573 0.031127 0.039080 0.049454
2025-12-28 0.009965 0.013824 0.018846 0.025835 0.035287 0.047596 0.064817
2026-01-04 0.008308 0.012384 0.018052 0.026469 0.038601 0.055399 0.080361
2026-01-11 0.006699 0.010658 0.016506 0.025710 0.039758 0.060303 0.092513
2026-01-18 0.005604 0.009459 0.015471 0.025444 0.041467 0.066070 0.106526
2026-01-25 0.004667 0.008321 0.014315 0.024751 0.042327 0.070546 0.119013
2026-02-01 0.003959 0.007428 0.013392 0.024251 0.043351 0.075299 0.132403
2026-02-08 0.003420 0.006733 0.012680 0.023970 0.044645 0.080563 0.147166
2026-02-15 0.002928 0.006033 0.011846 0.023326 0.045170 0.084504 0.160016
2026-02-22 0.002710 0.005821 0.011870 0.024256 0.048650 0.094018 0.183876
2026-03-01 0.002415 0.005406 0.011441 0.024241 0.050317 0.100361 0.202530
2026-03-08 0.002073 0.004840 0.010643 0.023407 0.050327 0.103684 0.216050
2026-03-15 0.001833 0.004457 0.010167 0.023168 0.051507 0.109420 0.235014
2026-03-22 0.001744 0.004403 0.010384 0.024438 0.056005 0.122327 0.270020
2026-03-29 0.001616 0.004234 0.010322 0.025080 0.059223 0.132941 0.301444
2026-04-05 0.001415 0.003850 0.009711 0.024379 0.059356 0.137008 0.319283
2026-04-12 0.001268 0.003577 0.009319 0.024137 0.060499 0.143383 0.342894
2026-04-19 0.001116 0.003267 0.008791 0.023482 0.060578 0.147368 0.361529
2026-04-26 0.000994 0.003012 0.008361 0.023010 0.061027 0.152235 0.382731
2026-05-03 0.000895 0.002807 0.008030 0.022744 0.061950 0.158301 0.407416
2026-05-10 0.000794 0.002575 0.007593 0.022132 0.061904 0.162017 0.426793
2026-05-17 0.000760 0.002543 0.007699 0.023016 0.065898 0.176138 0.473558